U.S. PCE Price index YoY

Ready to Act on Market Events?

Compare trusted brokers to trade based on real-time economic data and forecasts.

Latest ReleaseApr 09, 2026
Actual2.8%
Forecast2.8%
Previous
2.8%
Importance:Country:Currency:Source:
The PCE price index, also referred to as the PCE deflator, is a United States-wide indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. The impact on the currency may go both ways: a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency; on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.
Release dateTimeActualForecastPrevious
Apr 30, 2026 (Mar)12:30
2.8%
Apr 09, 2026 (Feb)12:302.8%2.8%
2.8%
Mar 13, 2026 (Jan)12:302.8%2.9%
2.9%
Feb 20, 2026 (Dec)13:302.9%2.8%
2.8%
Jan 22, 2026 (Nov)15:002.8%2.8%
2.7%
Jan 22, 2026 (Oct)14:592.7%
2.8%
Dec 05, 2025 (Sep)15:002.8%2.8%
2.7%
Sep 26, 2025 (Aug)12:302.7%2.7%
2.6%
Aug 29, 2025 (Jul)12:302.6%2.6%
2.6%
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)12:302.6%2.5%
2.4%

PCE Price index Discussion

pro badge
The  Core PCE price index on Nov 24, 2021 indicated prices had inflated by 4.2% from the same period in 2020. On Dec 1, 2022 prices had inflated another 5%. Now they’ve inflated another 3.5%. The FED only wants to get inflation down to 2% per year while market mavens (I.e. Big Money) say getting it down to 3% is plenty and the FED should start dropping the FED’s “target Rate” and charging them less interest (Which is already way lower than the interest consumers have to pay to buy a house, care or other improvements) Unless a person is making 14% more than they did in 2020, they need negative inflation rates to catch up. and for future inflation rates to be at or less than the annual increases in their wages. That vast majority of people have savings accounts but don’t “play the markets” so higher Fed rates mean they get more interest on their savings. This economy is 70% dependent on consumer consumption.  Don’t let the greed of those already in the markets kill the golden goose!
?
Musk brings up an interesting point. Based on the data used in their models, are the Feds looking in the rear view mirror instead of forward through the windshield?  Are they massively over raising interest rates that could have a catastrophic momentum driving the economy into a recession next year?
They are socialists populists, they only care for today, they don't give a damnn about "the future"!
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2026 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.